Bengals vs. Patriots Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1

Published 4:37 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024

Our computer model predicts a victory for the Cincinnati Bengals when they play the New England Patriots at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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With 374.6 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranked second-worst in the NFL, the Bengals had to lean on their 22nd-ranked offense (318.9 yards per contest) to keep them in games last season. The Patriots were a bottom-five scoring offense last season, ranking second-worst with 13.9 points per game. On defense, they ranked 15th in the NFL (21.5 points allowed per game).

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Bengals vs. Patriots Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Bengals (-7.5) Under (41) Bengals 27, Patriots 13

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Bengals Betting Info

  • The Bengals have an implied moneyline win probability of 80.0% in this game.
  • Cincinnati compiled a 7-8-2 record against the spread last season.
  • A total of 10 Cincinnati games last season went over the point total.
  • The point total average for Bengals games last season was 43.5, 2.5 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

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Patriots Betting Info

  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 24.4% chance of a victory for the Patriots.
  • New England compiled a 5-12-0 ATS record last year.
  • The Patriots covered the spread twice when an underdog by 7.5 points or more last season (in four opportunities).
  • In New England games last season, combined scoring went over the point total seven times.
  • The over/under for this game is 1.6 points higher than the average scoring total for Patriots games last season (39.4).

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Bengals vs. Patriots 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Bengals 21.5 22.6 23.7 19.1 19.1 26.5
Patriots 13.9 21.5 12.1 20.9 15.9 22.3

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