Louisville vs. Morehead State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 4

Published 8:09 pm Saturday, November 2, 2024

Monday’s game between the Morehead State Eagles (0-0) and the Louisville Cardinals (0-0) at KFC Yum! Center has a good chance to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 73-72, with Morehead State taking home the win. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on November 4.

Based on our computer prediction, Morehead State is a good bet to cover the point spread, which is listed at 16.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 144.5 total.

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Louisville vs. Morehead State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, November 4, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ACC Network Extra
  • Where: Louisville, Kentucky
  • Venue: KFC Yum! Center
  • Line: Louisville -16.5
  • Point total: 144.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Louisville -3030, Morehead State +1300

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Louisville vs. Morehead State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Morehead State 73, Louisville 72

Spread & Total Prediction for Louisville vs. Morehead State

  • Pick ATS: Morehead State (+16.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (144.5)

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Louisville Performance Insights

  • Last season, Louisville was 227th in the country offensively (72.0 points scored per game) and 23rd-worst on defense (79.1 points conceded).
  • On the glass, the Cardinals were 148th in the nation in rebounds (32.4 per game) last season. They were 250th in rebounds conceded (32.7 per game).
  • Last season Louisville was ranked 325th in the country in assists with 11.1 per game.
  • Beyond the arc, the Cardinals were 333rd in the nation in 3-pointers made per game (5.5) last year. They were 325th in 3-point percentage at 30.6%.
  • Defensively, Louisville was 319th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed per game at 8.6 last year. It was 12th-worst in 3-point percentage conceded at 37.2%.
  • Last season, the Cardinals took 31.2% of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 68.8% from inside it. In terms of made shots, 21.9% of the Cardinals’ buckets were 3-pointers, and 78.1% were 2-pointers.

Morehead State Performance Insights

  • Morehead State was lifted by its defense last season, as it ranked ninth-best in the nation by giving up only 63.4 points per game. It ranked 121st in college basketball in points scored (75.3 per contest).
  • In terms of rebounding, everything was clicking for the Eagles, who averaged 36.3 boards per game (20th-best in college basketball) and allowed 27.2 boards per contest (ninth-best).
  • Morehead State ranked 70th in the country with 14.9 assists per contest.
  • The Eagles ranked 167th in the nation with 11.1 turnovers per game last year. Meanwhile, they ranked 291st with 10.1 forced turnovers per game.
  • The Eagles ranked 23rd-best in college basketball by draining 9.4 threes per game. In terms of three-point percentage, they ranked 68th in college basketball at 36.0%.
  • Morehead State thrived when it came to defending against three-pointers, as it ranked 13th-best in college basketball in threes allowed (5.7 per game) and 18th-best in three-point percentage allowed (30.2%).
  • Morehead State took 54.8% two-pointers and 45.2% threes last season. Of the team’s baskets, 65.1% were two-pointers and 34.9% were threes.

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