Pacers vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – November 17

Published 6:55 am Sunday, November 17, 2024

The Indiana Pacers (5-7) take the court against the Miami Heat (5-6) as 4.5-point favorites on Sunday, November 17, 2024 at 5:00 PM ET on FDSIN and FDSSUN.

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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSIN and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

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Pacers vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 114 – Pacers 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Pacers vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 4.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.9)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (228.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 226.7
  • The Heat (5-6-0 ATS) have covered the spread 50% of the time, 4.5% less often than the Pacers (6-6-0) this season.
  • When the spread is set as 4.5 or more this season, Indiana (2-4) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (33.3%) than Miami (3-0) does as the underdog (100%).
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the point total 54.5% of the time this season (six out of 11). That’s less often than Indiana and its opponents have (eight out of 12).
  • The Pacers have a .333 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (2-4) this season while the Heat have a .400 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (2-3).

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Pacers Performance Insights

  • The Pacers are putting up 113.6 points per game (13th-ranked in NBA) this year, while surrendering 117.2 points per contest (25th-ranked).
  • Indiana is averaging only 40 boards per game (third-worst in NBA), and it is allowing 44.6 boards per contest (19th-ranked).
  • The Pacers are putting up 27.8 assists per game, which ranks them eighth in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • Indiana ranks 16th in the NBA with 13.9 turnovers per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 21st with 12.9 forced turnovers per game.
  • With 12.3 treys per game, the Pacers rank 19th in the NBA. They have a 37.4% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks ninth in the league.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • The Heat score 111.5 points per game and give up 111.2, ranking them 19th in the NBA offensively and 10th defensively.
  • In 2024-25, Miami is 22nd in the NBA in rebounds (42.4 per game) and third-worst in rebounds conceded (46.3).
  • This season the Heat are ranked 16th in the NBA in assists at 25.5 per game.
  • In 2024-25, Miami is third-best in the league in turnovers committed (11.7 per game) and ranked seventh in turnovers forced (15.2).
  • The Heat are ninth in the NBA in 3-pointers made (14.8 per game) and fourth-best in 3-point percentage (38.5%).

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