Thursday’s game at Ellis T. Johnson Arena has the Morehead State Eagles (4-6, 0-0 OVC) matching up with the UT Martin Skyhawks (4-7, 0-0 OVC) at 7:30 PM ET (on December 19). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 73-70 win for Morehead State, so it should be a tight matchup.

According to our computer prediction, UT Martin projects to cover the 4.5-point spread in its matchup against Morehead State. The over/under has been set at 145.5, and the two sides are projected to fall short of that total.

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Morehead State vs. UT Martin Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, December 19, 2024
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Morehead, Kentucky
• Venue: Ellis T. Johnson Arena
• Line: Morehead State -4.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Morehead State -215, UT Martin +176

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Morehead State vs. UT Martin Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Morehead State 73, UT Martin 70

Spread & Total Prediction for Morehead State vs. UT Martin

• Pick ATS: UT Martin (+4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (145.5)

Morehead State is 5-3-0 against the spread this season compared to UT Martin’s 3-5-0 ATS record. Both the Eagles and the Skyhawks are 4-4-0 in terms of going over the point total in their games this season. The two teams score an average of 148.8 points per game, 3.3 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Morehead State Performance Insights

• The Eagles average 69.4 points per game (308th in college basketball) while giving up 73.6 per outing (246th in college basketball). They have a -42 scoring differential overall and have been outscored by 4.2 points per game.
• Morehead State wins the rebound battle by 3.5 boards on average. It records 33.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 131st in college basketball, while its opponents grab 30.4 per contest.
• Morehead State connects on 5.8 three-pointers per game (340th in college basketball) at a 30.4% rate (305th in college basketball), compared to the 7.4 per contest its opponents make while shooting 31.4% from beyond the arc.
• The Eagles average 90.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (289th in college basketball), and give up 95.9 points per 100 possessions (295th in college basketball).
• Morehead State has committed 11.6 turnovers per game (179th in college basketball play), 1.7 more than the 9.9 it forces on average (324th in college basketball).

UT Martin Performance Insights

• The Skyhawks have a +70 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.4 points per game. They’re putting up 79.4 points per game, 101st in college basketball, and are allowing 73 per outing to rank 226th in college basketball.
• UT Martin grabs 40.8 rebounds per game (fifth in college basketball) while conceding 32.7 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 8.1 boards per game.
• UT Martin hits 9.5 three-pointers per game (60th in college basketball) at a 30.6% rate (294th in college basketball), compared to the 9.1 its opponents make, shooting 29% from deep.
• UT Martin and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Skyhawks commit 12.4 per game (251st in college basketball) and force 11.5 (223rd in college basketball).

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