Saturday’s contest between the Morehead State Eagles (5-6, 1-0 OVC) and Tennessee State Tigers (4-8, 0-1 OVC) matching up at Ellis T. Johnson Arena has a projected final score of 77-74 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Morehead State, who is listed as a small favorite by our model. The game will tip off at 3:30 PM ET on December 21.

According to our computer prediction, Tennessee State is a good bet to cover the point spread, which currently sits at 3.5. The two sides are projected to eclipse the 148.5 over/under.

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Morehead State vs. Tennessee State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
• Time: 3:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Morehead, Kentucky
• Venue: Ellis T. Johnson Arena
• Line: Morehead State -3.5
• Point total: 148.5
• Moneyline (to win): Morehead State -188, Tennessee State +152

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Morehead State vs. Tennessee State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Morehead State 77, Tennessee State 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Morehead State vs. Tennessee State

• Pick ATS: Tennessee State (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (148.5)

Morehead State is 5-4-0 against the spread, while Tennessee State’s ATS record this season is 4-5-0. The Eagles have a 4-5-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Tigers have a record of 8-1-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score an average of 150.9 points per game, 2.4 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Morehead State Performance Insights

• The Eagles are being outscored by 3.7 points per game with a -41 scoring differential overall. They put up 69.5 points per game (308th in college basketball) and give up 73.2 per outing (236th in college basketball).
• Morehead State is 134th in the country at 33.9 rebounds per game. That’s 3.4 more than the 30.5 its opponents average.
• Morehead State knocks down 6.0 three-pointers per game (334th in college basketball) at a 31.4% rate (280th in college basketball), compared to the 7.5 per contest its opponents make while shooting 32.0% from beyond the arc.
• The Eagles’ 90.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 293rd in college basketball, and the 95.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 278th in college basketball.
• Morehead State has committed 11.8 turnovers per game (199th in college basketball play), 2.0 more than the 9.8 it forces on average (327th in college basketball).

Tennessee State Performance Insights

• The Tigers put up 81.4 points per game (63rd in college basketball) while allowing 76.6 per contest (300th in college basketball). They have a +58 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 4.8 points per game.
• Tennessee State averages 42.1 rebounds per game (first in college basketball) while conceding 31.7 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 10.4 boards per game.
• Tennessee State knocks down 1.2 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 6.4 (307th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.6.
• Tennessee State has committed 14.8 turnovers per game (349th in college basketball), 2.0 more than the 12.8 it forces (134th in college basketball).

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