Heat vs. Pacers Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 2

Published 8:21 pm Wednesday, January 1, 2025

The Miami Heat (16-14) hit the court against the Indiana Pacers (16-18) as only 2.5-point favorites on Thursday, January 2, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET on FDSSUN and FDSIN.

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Heat vs. Pacers Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSIN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Heat vs. Pacers Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 116 – Pacers 110

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Pacers

  • Pick ATS: Heat (- 2.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-6.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (226.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 225.6
  • The Pacers (14-20-0 ATS) have covered the spread 50% of the time, 8.8% less often than the Heat (15-15-0) this season.
  • Miami covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point favorite or more 64.3% of the time. That’s more often than Indiana covers as an underdog of 2.5 or more (60%).
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the point total 53.3% of the time this season (16 out of 30). That’s less often than Indiana and its opponents have (22 out of 34).
  • The Heat have a .611 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (11-7) this season while the Pacers have a .471 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (8-9).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • So far this year, the Heat are scoring 111.0 points per game (20th-ranked in NBA) and giving up 108.7 points per contest (sixth-ranked).
  • With 43.5 boards per game, Miami is 19th in the NBA. It surrenders 45.5 rebounds per contest, which ranks 25th in the league.
  • The Heat are averaging 25.4 dimes per game, which ranks them 17th in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • Miami ranks top-five this year in turnovers, ranking fourth-best in the league with 12.4 turnovers per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 12th with 14.2 forced turnovers per contest.
  • This season, the Heat are draining 14.4 three-pointers per game (ninth-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 37.3% (seventh-ranked) from beyond the arc.

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Pacers Performance Insights

  • The Pacers score 114.6 points per game and give up 116.9, ranking them 11th in the league on offense and 22nd defensively.
  • In 2024-25, Indiana is fourth-worst in the league in rebounds (41.4 per game) and 17th in rebounds allowed (44.3).
  • This season the Pacers are ranked 10th in the league in assists at 27.8 per game.
  • Indiana is 13th in the NBA in turnovers per game (13.6) and 18th in turnovers forced (13.6).
  • The Pacers are 19th in the league in 3-pointers made (12.7 per game) and seventh in 3-point percentage (37.3%).

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