Thursday’s game that pits the No. 16 Kentucky Wildcats (11-1) versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-1) at Memorial Coliseum has a projected final score of 69-64 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Kentucky, who is slightly favored in this matchup according to our model. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on January 2.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky is projected to cover the spread (1.5) against Mississippi State. The two teams are projected to come in below the 135.5 total.

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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Lexington-Fayette, Kentucky
• Venue: Memorial Coliseum
• Line: Kentucky -1.5
• Point total: 135.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -140, Mississippi State +115

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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 69, Mississippi State 64

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (135.5)

The two teams combine to score 157.3 points per game, 21.8 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats outscore opponents by 21.3 points per game (scoring 78.4 points per game to rank 39th in college basketball while giving up 57.1 per contest to rank 53rd in college basketball) and have a +256 scoring differential overall.
• Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 9.8 boards on average. It collects 38.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 23rd in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 29 per contest.
• Kentucky connects on three more threes per game than the opposition, 7.8 (59th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 4.8.
• The Wildcats score 95.6 points per 100 possessions (34th in college basketball), while allowing 69.6 points per 100 possessions (45th in college basketball).
• Kentucky wins the turnover battle by 1.1 per game, committing 12.2 (23rd in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.3.

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs’ +378 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 27.0 points per game) is a result of putting up 78.9 points per game (35th in college basketball) while giving up 51.9 per outing (sixth in college basketball).
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by an average of 14.6 boards. It grabs 40.5 rebounds per game (10th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 25.9.
• Mississippi State knocks down 6.8 three-pointers per game (124th in college basketball) at a 32.4% rate (135th in college basketball), compared to the 5.6 per game its opponents make, at a 24.5% rate.
• Mississippi State has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 16.4 per game (198th in college basketball) while forcing 17.6 (107th in college basketball).

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