Saturday’s game features the No. 10 Kentucky Wildcats (11-2, 0-0 SEC) and the No. 6 Florida Gators (13-0, 0-0 SEC) facing off at Rupp Arena in what should be a competitive matchup, with a projected 79-77 victory for Kentucky according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 11:00 AM ET on January 4.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky is projected to cover the point spread (1.5) versus Florida. The two sides are expected to go under the 165.5 total.

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Kentucky vs. Florida Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
• Time: 11:00 AM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Kentucky -1.5
• Point total: 165.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -115, Florida -104

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Kentucky vs. Florida Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 79, Florida 77

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Florida

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (165.5)

Kentucky’s record against the spread so far this season is 6-7-0, and Florida’s is 10-3-0. The Wildcats have a 7-6-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Gators have a record of 5-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams combine to score 176.4 points per game, 10.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Kentucky is 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 games, while Florida has gone 9-1 against the spread and 10-0 overall.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats outscore opponents by 17.7 points per game (scoring 89.0 points per game to rank third in college basketball while giving up 71.3 per contest to rank 187th in college basketball) and have a +230 scoring differential overall.
• Kentucky comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 4.8 boards. It is collecting 37.8 rebounds per game (15th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 33.0 per contest.
• Kentucky makes 9.8 three-pointers per game (42nd in college basketball), 2.6 more than its opponents (7.2).
• The Wildcats average 107.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (14th in college basketball), and give up 86.3 points per 100 possessions (84th in college basketball).
• Kentucky has committed 1.7 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 9.0 (10th in college basketball action) while forcing 10.7 (283rd in college basketball).

Florida Performance Insights

• The Gators have a +311 scoring differential, topping opponents by 23.9 points per game. They’re putting up 87.4 points per game, eighth in college basketball, and are giving up 63.5 per contest to rank 23rd in college basketball.
• The 43.5 rebounds per game Florida accumulates rank first in college basketball, 13.9 more than the 29.6 its opponents grab.
• Florida connects on 9.7 three-pointers per game (44th in college basketball) while shooting 34.5% from beyond the arc (147th in college basketball). It is making 3.7 more threes than its opponents, who drain 6.0 per game at 26.6%.
• Florida has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 10.9 per game (124th in college basketball) while forcing 12.8 (129th in college basketball).

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