Sunday’s game at Memorial Gymnasium has the Vanderbilt Commodores (14-1) going head-to-head against the No. 16 Kentucky Wildcats (12-1) at 3:00 PM (on January 5). Our computer prediction projects a 74-68 victory for Vanderbilt, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky is projected to cover the spread (6.5) versus Vanderbilt. The two teams are projected to go under the 144.5 over/under.

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Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Nashville, Tennessee
• Venue: Memorial Gymnasium
• Line: Vanderbilt -6.5
• Point total: 144.5
• Moneyline (to win): Vanderbilt -350, Kentucky +280

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Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Vanderbilt 74, Kentucky 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (+6.5)
• Pick OU: Under (144.5)

Vanderbilt is 1-1-0 against the spread this season compared to Kentucky’s 5-4-0 ATS record. The Commodores have a 0-1-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Wildcats have a record of 4-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score an average of 169.3 points per game, 24.8 more points than this matchup’s total. Vanderbilt is 1-1 against the spread and 2-0 overall in its last 10 contests, while Kentucky has gone 5-4 against the spread and 8-1 overall.

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Vanderbilt Performance Insights

• The Commodores outscore opponents by 32.6 points per game (scoring 89.9 points per game to rank sixth in college basketball while giving up 57.3 per contest to rank 57th in college basketball) and have a +489 scoring differential overall.
• The 38.5 rebounds per game Vanderbilt averages rank 23rd in the nation, and are 9.1 more than the 29.4 its opponents pull down per outing.
• Vanderbilt knocks down 7.1 three-pointers per game (101st in college basketball) at a 31.9% rate (142nd in college basketball), compared to the 5.2 per game its opponents make at a 26.9% rate.
• The Commodores rank 10th in college basketball with 101.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 10th in college basketball defensively with 64.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Vanderbilt wins the turnover battle by 9.4 per game, committing 12.9 (38th in college basketball) while its opponents average 22.3.

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats are outscoring opponents by 21.4 points per game, with a +278 scoring differential overall. They put up 79.4 points per game (33rd in college basketball) and give up 58 per outing (64th in college basketball).
• The 38.7 rebounds per game Kentucky accumulates rank 21st in the nation, 9.3 more than the 29.4 its opponents collect.
• Kentucky connects on 8.6 three-pointers per game (26th in college basketball) at a 31.9% rate (142nd in college basketball), compared to the 4.7 per game its opponents make, at a 25% rate.
• Kentucky forces 13 turnovers per game (329th in college basketball) while committing 12.3 (24th in college basketball).

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