Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 16

Published 12:08 am Thursday, January 16, 2025

Thursday’s game between the Morehead State Eagles (10-7, 5-1 OVC) and the Western Illinois Leathernecks (8-9, 2-4 OVC) at Ellis T. Johnson Arena has a projected final score of 72-67 based on our computer prediction, with Morehead State taking home the win. Tipoff is at 7:30 PM ET on January 16.

Based on our computer prediction, Western Illinois projects to cover the 6.5-point spread in its matchup versus Morehead State. The over/under is currently listed at 131.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Thursday, January 16, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Morehead, Kentucky
  • Venue: Ellis T. Johnson Arena
  • Line: Morehead State -6.5
  • Point total: 131.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Morehead State -290, Western Illinois +225

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Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Morehead State 72, Western Illinois 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Morehead State vs. Western Illinois

  • Pick ATS: Western Illinois (+6.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (131.5)

Morehead State has gone 9-5-0 against the spread, while Western Illinois’ ATS record this season is 4-10-0. The Eagles have hit the over in four games, while Leathernecks games have gone over 10 times. The teams combine to score 140.1 points per game, 8.6 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 games, Morehead State has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall. Western Illinois has gone 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Morehead State Performance Insights

  • The Eagles have a -4 scoring differential, putting up 69.6 points per game (299th in college basketball) and allowing 69.8 (131st in college basketball).
  • The 35.4 rebounds per game Morehead State averages rank 57th in college basketball, and are 5.9 more than the 29.5 its opponents record per contest.
  • Morehead State connects on 5.8 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball), 1.2 fewer than its opponents (7).
  • The Eagles rank 285th in college basketball by averaging 91.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 179th in college basketball, allowing 91.7 points per 100 possessions.
  • Morehead State has lost the turnover battle on average this season, committing 11.5 per game (183rd in college basketball play) while forcing 10.2 (313th in college basketball).

Western Illinois Performance Insights

  • The Leathernecks have a -1 scoring differential, putting up 70.5 points per game (279th in college basketball) and giving up 70.5 (150th in college basketball).
  • The 31.9 rebounds per game Western Illinois accumulates rank 230th in the country, 2.2 more than the 29.7 its opponents record.
  • Western Illinois hits 8.4 three-pointers per game (120th in college basketball) while shooting 36.7% from deep (61st in college basketball). It is making 1.3 more threes than its opponents, who drain 7.1 per game at 32.9%.
  • Western Illinois has committed 10.9 turnovers per game (123rd in college basketball), 1.4 more than the 9.5 it forces (341st in college basketball).

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