Kentucky vs. Alabama Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 18
Published 12:08 pm Friday, January 17, 2025
Saturday’s game features the No. 8 Kentucky Wildcats (14-3, 3-1 SEC) and the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (14-3, 3-1 SEC) facing off at Rupp Arena in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 83-82 victory for Kentucky according to our computer prediction. Tipoff is at 12:00 PM ET on January 18.
Based on our computer prediction, Alabama is projected to cover the spread (1.5) versus Kentucky. The two teams are projected to come in below the 178.5 over/under.
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Kentucky vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds
- Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
- Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Lexington, Kentucky
- Venue: Rupp Arena
- Line: Kentucky -1.5
- Point total: 178.5
- Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -132, Alabama +110
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Kentucky vs. Alabama Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Kentucky 83, Alabama 82
Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Alabama
- Pick ATS: Alabama (+1.5)
- Pick OU: Under (178.5)
Both Kentucky and Alabama are 9-8-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. Both the Wildcats and the Crimson Tide are 9-8-0 in terms of hitting the over in their games this season. The two teams average 178.2 points per game combined, 0.3 fewer than this matchup’s total. Kentucky is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its past 10 contests, while Alabama has gone 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall.
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Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats outscore opponents by 14.1 points per game (scoring 88.7 points per game to rank third in college basketball while allowing 74.6 per outing to rank 265th in college basketball) and have a +240 scoring differential overall.
- Kentucky comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 3.9 boards. It is collecting 36.4 rebounds per game (27th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.5 per outing.
- Kentucky knocks down 10.1 three-pointers per game (29th in college basketball), 2.4 more than its opponents (7.7).
- The Wildcats average 107.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (ninth in college basketball), and allow 90.5 points per 100 possessions (151st in college basketball).
- Kentucky forces 10.5 turnovers per game (291st in college basketball) while committing 9.5 (19th in college basketball play).
Alabama Performance Insights
- The Crimson Tide are outscoring opponents by 12.3 points per game, with a +209 scoring differential overall. They put up 89.5 points per game (first in college basketball) and allow 77.2 per contest (310th in college basketball).
- Alabama wins the rebound battle by 8.6 boards on average. It collects 40.9 rebounds per game, third in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 32.3.
- Alabama hits 10.0 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball) while shooting 32.0% from deep (277th in college basketball). It is making 3.4 more threes than its opponents, who drain 6.6 per game at 28.4%.
- Alabama has had more turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 12.2 per game (254th in college basketball) while forcing 10.4 (298th in college basketball).
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