Tennessee vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 28

Published 4:13 pm Monday, January 27, 2025

Tuesday’s game features the No. 8 Tennessee Volunteers (17-3, 4-3 SEC) and the No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats (14-5, 3-3 SEC) clashing at Thompson-Boling Arena (on January 28) at 7:00 PM ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 78-71 win for Tennessee.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky is a good bet to cover the spread, which is currently listed at 8.5. The two sides are projected to eclipse the 148.5 over/under.

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, January 28, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
  • Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
  • Line: Tennessee -8.5
  • Point total: 148.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -385, Kentucky +300

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Tennessee 78, Kentucky 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Kentucky

  • Pick ATS: Kentucky (+8.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (148.5)

Tennessee has gone 13-7-0 against the spread, while Kentucky’s ATS record this season is 9-10-0. The Volunteers are 7-13-0 and the Wildcats are 10-9-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams average 163.2 points per game, 14.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall over its past 10 contests, while Kentucky has gone 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

  • The Volunteers’ +335 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 16.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 75.1 points per game (175th in college basketball) while allowing 58.4 per outing (third in college basketball).
  • Tennessee pulls down 35.3 rebounds per game (50th in college basketball) while allowing 26.8 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 8.5 boards per game.
  • Tennessee knocks down two more threes per contest than the opposition, 8.6 (101st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.6.
  • The Volunteers put up 99.7 points per 100 possessions (92nd in college basketball), while giving up 77.5 points per 100 possessions (second in college basketball).
  • Tennessee wins the turnover battle by two per game, committing 10.2 (68th in college basketball) while its opponents average 12.2.

Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats’ +230 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 12.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 88.1 points per game (third in college basketball) while allowing 76 per outing (296th in college basketball).
  • Kentucky records 36.5 rebounds per game (25th in college basketball) while conceding 32.4 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.1 boards per game.
  • Kentucky hits 10.1 three-pointers per game (23rd in college basketball), 1.9 more than its opponents. It shoots 36.9% from beyond the arc (51st in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 29.2%.
  • Kentucky forces 10.1 turnovers per game (313th in college basketball) while committing 9.8 (34th in college basketball).

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