Ole Miss vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 4
Published 4:09 pm Monday, February 3, 2025
Tuesday’s contest at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss has the No. 25 Ole Miss Rebels (16-6, 5-4 SEC) going head to head against the No. 14 Kentucky Wildcats (15-6, 4-4 SEC) at 7:00 PM ET (on February 4). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 79-76 victory for Ole Miss, so expect a tight matchup.
According to our computer prediction, Kentucky is projected to cover the spread (3.5) against Ole Miss. The two teams are expected to come in below the 155.5 total.
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Ole Miss vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds
- Date: Tuesday, February 4, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Oxford, Mississippi
- Venue: The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss
- Line: Ole Miss -3.5
- Point total: 155.5
- Moneyline (to win): Ole Miss -162, Kentucky +134
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Ole Miss vs. Kentucky Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Ole Miss 79, Kentucky 76
Spread & Total Prediction for Ole Miss vs. Kentucky
- Pick ATS: Kentucky (+3.5)
- Pick OU: Under (155.5)
Ole Miss has a 13-9-0 record against the spread this season compared to Kentucky, who is 10-11-0 ATS. The Rebels have a 9-13-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Wildcats have a record of 12-9-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score an average of 164.9 points per game, 9.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Ole Miss is 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its past 10 contests, while Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.
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Ole Miss Performance Insights
- The Rebels outscore opponents by 10 points per game (scoring 77.7 points per game to rank 96th in college basketball while giving up 67.7 per outing to rank 67th in college basketball) and have a +221 scoring differential overall.
- The 30.8 rebounds per game Ole Miss averages rank 274th in the country, and are 2.5 fewer than the 33.3 its opponents pull down per outing.
- Ole Miss knocks down 1.2 more threes per game than the opposition, 8.8 (89th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.6.
- The Rebels average 99.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (95th in college basketball), and give up 86.6 points per 100 possessions (46th in college basketball).
- Ole Miss has committed 6.1 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 8.9 (eighth in college basketball action) while forcing 15 (11th in college basketball).
Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats are outscoring opponents by 10.7 points per game, with a +225 scoring differential overall. They put up 87.2 points per game (third in college basketball) and allow 76.5 per outing (304th in college basketball).
- The 36.2 rebounds per game Kentucky accumulates rank 26th in the country, 3.9 more than the 32.3 its opponents collect.
- Kentucky makes 10.2 three-pointers per game (19th in college basketball) while shooting 37.7% from beyond the arc (30th in college basketball). It is making 1.6 more threes than its opponents, who drain 8.6 per game at 29.8%.
- Kentucky forces 9.8 turnovers per game (327th in college basketball) while committing 10.1 (68th in college basketball).
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