Tennessee vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 11
Published 8:13 pm Monday, February 10, 2025
Tuesday’s contest between the No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (20-4, 7-4 SEC) and No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats (16-7, 5-5 SEC) going head to head at Rupp Arena has a projected final score of 75-74 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Tennessee, so expect a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 7:00 PM ET on February 11.
Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky should cover the spread, which is listed at 2.5. The two teams are projected to fall short of the 149.5 total.
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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds
- Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Lexington, Kentucky
- Venue: Rupp Arena
- Line: Tennessee -2.5
- Point total: 149.5
- Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -130, Kentucky +108
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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Tennessee 75, Kentucky 74
Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Kentucky
- Pick ATS: Kentucky (+2.5)
- Pick OU: Under (149.5)
Tennessee is 15-9-0 against the spread, while Kentucky’s ATS record this season is 11-12-0. The Volunteers are 9-15-0 and the Wildcats are 13-10-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams combine to score 161.5 points per game, 12.0 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee is 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its past 10 games, while Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.
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Tennessee Performance Insights
- The Volunteers outscore opponents by 15.5 points per game (scoring 74.8 points per game to rank 165th in college basketball while giving up 59.3 per outing to rank third in college basketball) and have a +372 scoring differential overall.
- Tennessee comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 8.1 boards. It is pulling down 35.1 rebounds per game (47th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 27 per outing.
- Tennessee knocks down 1.7 more threes per game than the opposition, 8.6 (100th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.9.
- The Volunteers put up 99.7 points per 100 possessions (91st in college basketball), while giving up 79 points per 100 possessions (second in college basketball).
- Tennessee has committed 10.2 turnovers per game (73rd in college basketball action), 1.5 fewer than the 11.7 it forces on average (165th in college basketball).
Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats are outscoring opponents by 10.1 points per game, with a +234 scoring differential overall. They put up 86.7 points per game (third in college basketball) and allow 76.6 per outing (307th in college basketball).
- The 35.9 rebounds per game Kentucky accumulates rank 27th in college basketball, four more than the 31.9 its opponents collect.
- Kentucky makes 10.1 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball) while shooting 37.9% from deep (24th in college basketball). It is making 1.5 more threes than its opponents, who drain 8.6 per game at 30%.
- Kentucky forces 9.2 turnovers per game (346th in college basketball) while committing 9.8 (41st in college basketball).
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