Alabama vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 22
Published 12:08 pm Friday, February 21, 2025
Saturday’s contest between the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (21-5, 10-3 SEC) and the No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats (18-8, 7-6 SEC) at Coleman Coliseum has a projected final score of 86-80 based on our computer prediction, with Alabama securing the victory. Game time is at 6:00 PM ET on February 22.
Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky should cover the spread, which is listed at 8.5. The two teams are projected to come in below the 177.5 total.
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Alabama vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds
- Date: Saturday, February 22, 2025
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
- Venue: Coleman Coliseum
- Line: Alabama -8.5
- Point total: 177.5
- Moneyline (to win): Alabama -365, Kentucky +285
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Alabama vs. Kentucky Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Alabama 86, Kentucky 80
Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Kentucky
- Pick ATS: Kentucky (+8.5)
- Pick OU: Under (177.5)
Both Alabama and Kentucky are 14-12-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. The Crimson Tide have gone over the point total in 16 games, while Wildcats games have gone over 14 times. The two teams put up 176.4 points per game combined, 1.1 fewer than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 games, Alabama has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. Kentucky has gone 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 matches.
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Alabama Performance Insights
- The Crimson Tide are outscoring opponents by 10.3 points per game with a +268 scoring differential overall. They put up 90.6 points per game (first in college basketball) and give up 80.3 per outing (349th in college basketball).
- Alabama ranks second in the nation at 39.9 rebounds per game. That’s 7.6 more than the 32.3 its opponents average.
- Alabama makes 10.2 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball) at a 34.2% rate (166th in college basketball), compared to the 7.1 per game its opponents make at a 30.2% rate.
- The Crimson Tide average 104.2 points per 100 possessions (23rd in college basketball), while allowing 92.4 points per 100 possessions (157th in college basketball).
- Alabama has committed 12.5 turnovers per game (289th in college basketball play), 2.7 more than the 9.8 it forces on average (327th in college basketball).
Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats outscore opponents by 10.1 points per game (posting 85.8 points per game, third in college basketball, and giving up 75.7 per outing, 289th in college basketball) and have a +262 scoring differential.
- Kentucky prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 3.2 boards. It pulls down 35.1 rebounds per game (43rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.9.
- Kentucky connects on 10 three-pointers per game (26th in college basketball) while shooting 38% from beyond the arc (21st in college basketball). It is making 1.9 more threes than its opponents, who drain 8.1 per game at 29%.
- Kentucky forces 9.3 turnovers per game (339th in college basketball) while committing 10 (60th in college basketball).
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