Thursday’s contest at Gentry Center has the Tennessee State Tigers (14-15, 10-8 OVC) going head to head against the Morehead State Eagles (14-15, 9-9 OVC) at 8:30 PM ET on February 27. Our computer prediction projects a 77-68 win for Tennessee State, who are favored by our model.

According to our computer prediction, Tennessee State is a good bet to cover the point spread, which is listed at 7.5. The two teams are projected to fall short of the 145.5 total.

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Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, February 27, 2025
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Nashville, Tennessee
• Venue: Gentry Center
• Line: Tennessee State -7.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee State -429, Morehead State +320

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Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee State 77, Morehead State 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee State vs. Morehead State

• Pick ATS: Tennessee State (-7.5)
• Pick OU: Under (145.5)

Tennessee State has compiled a 14-12-0 record against the spread this season, while Morehead State is 11-15-0. The Tigers have hit the over in 19 games, while Eagles games have gone over 10 times. The teams average 146.1 points per game, 0.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee State is 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 contests, while Morehead State has gone 1-9 against the spread and 2-8 overall.

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Tennessee State Performance Insights

• The Tigers’ +133 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 79.3 points per game (56th in college basketball) while allowing 74.8 per contest (265th in college basketball).
• Tennessee State records 38.2 rebounds per game (fourth in college basketball) while conceding 31.2 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 7.0 boards per game.
• Tennessee State connects on 6.8 three-pointers per game (277th in college basketball) at a 32.2% rate (276th in college basketball), compared to the 7.2 its opponents make while shooting 32.6% from beyond the arc.
• The Tigers average 94.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (224th in college basketball), and allow 88.7 points per 100 possessions (74th in college basketball).
• Tennessee State loses the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 14.9 (359th in college basketball) while its opponents average 12.4.

Morehead State Performance Insights

• The Eagles have been outscored by 2.7 points per game (posting 66.8 points per game, 340th in college basketball, while giving up 69.5 per outing, 103rd in college basketball) and have a -78 scoring differential.
• Morehead State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 4.5 boards. It pulls down 33.5 rebounds per game (88th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.0.
• Morehead State makes 5.9 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.8. It shoots 31.1% from deep, and its opponents shoot 35.3%.
• Morehead State has committed 10.8 turnovers per game (134th in college basketball), 1.3 more than the 9.5 it forces (336th in college basketball).

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