Saturday’s game that pits the No. 1 Auburn Tigers (26-2, 14-1 SEC) versus the No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats (19-9, 8-7 SEC) at Rupp Arena has a projected final score of 81-77 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Auburn, who is a slight favorite in this matchup according to our model. Tipoff is at 1 p.m. ET on March 1.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky should cover the spread, which is listed at 5.5. The two sides are projected to come in below the 168.5 over/under.

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Auburn vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV: ABC
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Auburn -5.5
• Point total: 168.5
• Moneyline (to win): Auburn -205, Kentucky +168

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Auburn vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Auburn 81, Kentucky 77

Spread & Total Prediction for Auburn vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (+5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (168.5)

Auburn has put together a 17-11-0 record against the spread this season, while Kentucky is 14-14-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Tigers are 17-11-0 and the Wildcats are 15-13-0. The two teams score 170.7 points per game, 2.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 games, Auburn is 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall while Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Auburn Performance Insights

• The Tigers’ +467 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 16.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 85.1 points per game (fifth in college basketball) while giving up 68.4 per contest (75th in college basketball).
• Auburn prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 6.8 boards. It is pulling down 35.4 rebounds per game (30th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.6 per contest.
• Auburn makes 9.3 three-pointers per game (51st in college basketball) at a 36.7% rate (49th in college basketball), compared to the 5.9 per game its opponents make at a 29.5% rate.
• The Tigers rank fourth in college basketball by averaging 108.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 42nd in college basketball, allowing 87.2 points per 100 possessions.
• Auburn has come out ahead in the turnover battle by 2.2 turnovers per game, committing 8.8 (seventh in college basketball play) while forcing 11 (220th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats put up 85.6 points per game (third in college basketball) while giving up 76.6 per contest (310th in college basketball). They have a +250 scoring differential and outscore opponents by nine points per game.
• Kentucky comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 2.7 boards. It collects 34.8 rebounds per game (52nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.1.
• Kentucky makes 9.9 three-pointers per game (27th in college basketball), 1.6 more than its opponents. It shoots 37.6% from beyond the arc (26th in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 29.7%.
• Kentucky forces 9.8 turnovers per game (325th in college basketball) while committing 10.2 (79th in college basketball).

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